Since 2014, Modi’s tenure has intensified Hindutva ideology, merging Hindu nationalism with India’s identity and pushing India to 75th place on the 2024 Fragile States Index, now in the “Warning” category.
2023 US Commission on International Religious Freedom recommended India as a Country of Particular Concern.
Genocide Watch has issued alerts on potential genocide in India, while India’s democracy ranking dropped to 104 out of 179 countries in the 2023 Liberal Democracy Index.
The “Digital India” laws threaten free speech, with 134 violations recorded in early 2024. BJP’s IT cell, led by Anil Kumar, promotes pro-Modi propaganda, pushing the 2024 World Economic Forum to label misinformation as India’s top risk.
India’s numerous territorial disputes and the 2019 revocation of Article 370 have escalated tensions with Pakistan congress leader Rahul Gandhi condemned the move as an “abuse of power”.
China’s opposition to India’s high-altitude tunnel in Arunachal Pradesh underscores fragile Sino-Indian relations.
The Doklam plateau dispute with Bhutan and China, along with boundary issues with Nepal and Bangladesh, further strain India’s regional relations.
Guided by Chanakya’s principle that every neighboring state is an enemy,” former CIA officer Sarah Adam claims that India provides financial support to terrorist groups like the Afghan Taliban, TTP, and Al-Qaeda.
India’s internal stability is undermined by separatist movements fueled by ethnic, linguistic, religious, and regional identities.
The Kashmir conflict is marked by violence and demands for independence or merger with Pakistan, with Human Rights Watch’s 2023 report noting persistent torture and extrajudicial killings.
Statehood In Punjab, the Khalistan movement advocates for an independent Sikh homeland. The USCIRF has highlighted India’s intensified campaign against religious minorities,
This is evident in the assassination of Sikh activist Hardeep Singh Nijjar in Canada and the conspiracy against Gurpatwant Singh Pannun in the US, raising major concerns.
The Northeast region, including Arunachal Pradesh, Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland, and Tripura, has been a hotspot for separatist activities.
The Gorkhaland movement in West Bengal and the Dravidian identity movements in Tamil Nadu underscore the deep-seated grievances present across India.
The significant North-South divide in India affects electoral politics and cultural policies, with a Bloomberg report warning of an increased risk of constitutional crisis and potential disintegration into opposing blocs.
M. K. Stalin, leader of the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam, has endorsed a self-governing Dravida Nadu state, indicating that India’s actions are more about asserting dominance than fostering harmony, potentially inciting instability.
As India approaches 2047, deepening societal and geopolitical fractures threaten to escalate, raising the risk of dramatic division and the potential end of its current statehood.